{"id":7623,"date":"2020-06-05T11:26:07","date_gmt":"2020-06-05T14:26:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/legacy.anacouto.com.br\/?p=7623"},"modified":"2024-07-03T15:28:54","modified_gmt":"2024-07-03T18:28:54","slug":"os-caminhos-da-economia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/artigos\/2020\/06\/05\/os-caminhos-da-economia\/","title":{"rendered":"The Paths of Economics \u2013 Part 1"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><b>An analysis of the impacts by sector and possible responses based on branding.<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Part 1 of 3<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<p><b>We are all creating new paths.<\/b><\/p>\n<h5><\/h5>\n<h5><i>A series of 3 blog posts to analyze and learn from the different economic impacts of the crisis by sector.<\/i><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Right now, we are united, above all, as humanity. It is everyone&#039;s responsibility to act in the collective good, especially in the critical scenario we are experiencing. This context has also brought an opportunity for reflection, reprioritization, and acceleration of what we consider essential for our businesses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We understand that it&#039;s time to examine the available information and examples to try and clarify perspectives, even if without the precision we would like. In this series of 3 blog posts, we will evaluate scenarios that are quite diverse from each other, but which motivated creative business responses that inspire us to forge new paths for the challenges we face. <\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>The three perspectives of approach<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To delve deeper into the discussion, let&#039;s start with three perspectives:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><b> <\/b> <b>The sectors most impacted <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Innovation as a response to crisis and the centrality of purpose.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b> <\/b> <b>Challenged sectors <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Digital transformation and the reinvention of our business models.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b> <\/b> <b>Outliers: benefiting from the current situation. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The challenges of customer loyalty and coordinated growth.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>The sectors most impacted<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the resumption of growth depends on a combination of public health policies and economic stimulus, and the scenarios for these two fronts change daily, the impact on businesses cannot yet be precisely measured. However, preliminary data indicate sectors that, at least in the short term, are leading the losses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Based on the 3,000 most valuable companies in the world, McKinsey points to a drop in market value exceeding 40% in the Commercial Aviation, Tourism, and Oil\/Gas sectors. Losses exceeding 25% are seen in the Banking, Automotive, Fashion, and Chemical sectors, among others.<\/span><\/p>\n<h1><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7665\" src=\"http:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/artigoeconomia-grafico-07.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"460\" height=\"259\" srcset=\"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/artigoeconomia-grafico-07.jpg 1980w, https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/artigoeconomia-grafico-07-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/artigoeconomia-grafico-07-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/artigoeconomia-grafico-07-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/artigoeconomia-grafico-07-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px\" \/><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Brazil, figures from Cielo show a sharp impact on sales in various segments. The Durable Goods sector saw a drop of 45% in revenue since March, while the services sector fell by 60%. Some lines are even more affected, such as Clothing, whose revenue shrank by 66%, and Tourism and Transportation, with a loss of 75%. The situation is reflected in the confidence indices of business owners and consumers, which reached their historical low in the FGV measurement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The difficulties of managing such a sudden setback are enormous, and sectors like tourism and civil aviation are hoping for government aid plans to avoid drastic measures \u2013 or even bankruptcy, as happened with the airlines Flybe and Avianca and the American restaurant chain FoodFirst.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Innovation as a response<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What to do in this scenario? In addition to coordinated action with other spheres of responsibility, we note that some reactions to the current situation stem directly from innovation processes, responding to real problems people are facing right now.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even with increased delivery services, data indicates a 60% drop in revenue for bars and restaurants. A solution to alleviate cash flow was led by Ambev \u2013 through its Bohemia and Stella Artois brands \u2013 facilitating the sale of vouchers for post-quarantine consumption. L&#039;Or\u00e9al followed the same path to support beauty salons.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This type of innovation doesn&#039;t require high investments or the presence of large brands and has also been adopted by small entrepreneurs: tattoo artists, studio owners, and beach stall owners. Voucher systems have been part of the operations of companies like Peixe Urbano and Groupon for years: why not think about innovative ways to incorporate existing technologies into our businesses, even in normal times?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The quarantine led to an increase in demand for e-commerce throughout the entire consumer journey \u2013 from searching for the product to receiving it. Cielo, which handles the payment stage, and Loggi, which takes care of delivery, simplified the process: the seller generates a payment link and sends it to the customer with the delivery service already contracted. A simple measure that generates business value for both companies, makes life easier for small merchants, and speeds up delivery for the consumer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It&#039;s clear that necessity fuels our inventive spirit \u2013 we even have a world map of pandemic-related innovations \u2013 but we don&#039;t need to wait until we reach that point to innovate. Innovation can and should be part of our routines, arising from internal processes and a culture that facilitates experimentation, collaboration, and autonomy, as we explain in more depth in the paper &quot;Innovation is Necessary,&quot; from the TIP Insights initiative.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>The centrality of purpose<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even the delicate financial situation cannot give rise to opportunism or attempts to charge exorbitant prices to recoup losses. The current moment makes society demand more from companies, not the other way around. Denying this new correlation is to risk damaging the company&#039;s image and ruining any accounting.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Furthermore, the demand for socially responsible corporate behavior did not originate with the pandemic. Prior to Covid-19, for example, there was a letter from the CEO of the world&#039;s largest asset manager, BlackRock, drawing the attention of business leaders to the paradigm shift in the relationship between the population and companies, and the position taken by the Business Roundtable, an association of large American corporations, publishing its definition of the importance of a business&#039;s purpose.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This movement is reflected in the growing relevance of ESG (environmental, social, and governance) indices, which establish criteria and measure companies&#039; performance in social, environmental, and governance causes in a measurable and assertive way, but for this to happen, the mindset also needs to change.<\/span><\/p>\n<h1><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7662\" src=\"http:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Captura-de-Tela-2020-05-22-as-12.29.55.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"579\" height=\"274\" srcset=\"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Captura-de-Tela-2020-05-22-as-12.29.55.png 1012w, https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Captura-de-Tela-2020-05-22-as-12.29.55-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Captura-de-Tela-2020-05-22-as-12.29.55-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 579px) 100vw, 579px\" \/><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The pandemic accelerated all of this. Hence the various initiatives from companies reinforcing their purpose: reconciling what they do best with what the world needs, within what is economically viable. It&#039;s a relationship that&#039;s here to stay and from which we cannot detach ourselves.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a good example, Latam, Gol, and Azul, although immensely affected, understood that air travel is not a priority in this exceptional situation and offered free transportation to healthcare professionals, who will receive bonuses in their frequent flyer programs. That is: given what the context demands, the &quot;hard sell&quot; approach is temporarily set aside to focus on purpose and building a valuable ecosystem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Want to read the full article? Download all 3 parts of the analysis in a single file by clicking [here]. <span style=\"color: #000080;\"><a style=\"color: #000080;\" href=\"http:\/\/legacy.anacouto.com.br\/download-os-caminhos-da-economia\/\">here<\/a><\/span>.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Sources and references:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">MCKINSEY &amp; COMPANY. Covid-19: Briefing Materials. Global Health and Crisis Response. Based on the 3,000 most valuable companies in the world in 2019. Available at:<\/span><span style=\"color: #333399;\"><a style=\"color: #333399;\" href=\"http:\/\/clck.ru\/NdxZ5\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">http:\/\/clck.ru\/NdxZ5<\/span><\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accessed on 12\/05\/20.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CIELO. Cielo Bulletin: Impact of Covid-19 on Brazilian retail. ICVA \u2013 Cielo Expanded Retail Index, March 1, 2020 to May 9, 2020, compared to equivalent days in February 2020, with calendar adjustment (e.g., Carnival, Easter, holidays, Mother&#039;s Day week). Available at:<\/span><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><a style=\"color: #000080;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cielo.com.br\/boletim-cielo-varejo\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">http:\/\/www.cielo.com.br\/boletim-cielo-varejo\/<\/span><\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accessed on 12\/05\/20.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Right now, we are united, above all, as humanity. It is everyone&#039;s responsibility to act in the collective good, especially in the critical situation we are experiencing. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,117],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-artigos","category-tip-insights"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7623"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7623\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14849,"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7623\/revisions\/14849"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anacouto.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}